Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.477101 0.525369 0.577223 0.637205 0.704841 0.778934 0.866497
2025-10-05 0.405621 0.473959 0.552822 0.651153 0.771289 0.914333 1.099107
2025-10-12 0.363434 0.441746 0.536576 0.661062 0.821954 1.025346 1.305873
2025-10-19 0.331051 0.415066 0.520756 0.665374 0.861097 1.121170 1.500444
2025-10-26 0.305438 0.393082 0.506954 0.668413 0.895858 1.211686 1.695930
2025-11-02 0.285747 0.376312 0.497402 0.674667 0.933635 1.308115 1.909853
2025-11-09 0.262440 0.352276 0.475289 0.660269 0.938992 1.356333 2.054932
2025-11-16 0.248797 0.340281 0.468535 0.666621 0.974515 1.452163 2.286131
2025-11-23 0.233605 0.324757 0.455201 0.661471 0.991072 1.518940 2.476663
2025-11-30 0.222574 0.314346 0.448331 0.665145 1.021184 1.609810 2.720013
2025-12-07 0.209463 0.299881 0.434190 0.655938 1.028915 1.663151 2.901732
2025-12-14 0.197836 0.286859 0.421254 0.647392 1.036519 1.716325 3.089442
2025-12-21 0.183315 0.268705 0.399421 0.622990 1.015378 1.717261 3.177866
2025-12-28 0.178202 0.264892 0.400000 0.636045 1.061199 1.845789 3.544849
2026-01-04 0.172787 0.260207 0.398754 0.645690 1.101505 1.968143 3.918680
2026-01-11 0.166721 0.254075 0.394659 0.649882 1.131850 2.074192 4.274170
2026-01-18 0.160888 0.247957 0.390139 0.652836 1.159900 2.178533 4.643494
2026-01-25 0.156034 0.243163 0.387508 0.658915 1.194424 2.300101 5.075813
2026-02-01 0.148102 0.232772 0.374606 0.644920 1.187443 2.331879 5.289545
2026-02-08 0.144033 0.228721 0.372507 0.651095 1.222052 2.458837 5.773315
2026-02-15 0.138465 0.221799 0.364904 0.646088 1.232774 2.533009 6.129477
2026-02-22 0.134560 0.217559 0.361842 0.649659 1.261963 2.653299 6.638585
2026-03-01 0.129065 0.210257 0.352810 0.640709 1.263042 2.706708 6.964457